Is 2024 An El Nino Or La Nina Year.  — while la niña tilts the odds toward drier conditions, it doesn’t guarantee them. So, more storms could develop this year without el niño.

The oceanic ni ñ o index (oni) has become.  — this can be seen in the chart below, which shows the probability of a warm el niño event (red), a cool la niña (blue) or a neutral year (grey).